The Biggest Loser Recap: Emma Duncan

Biggest Loser Australia 3×68: Week 11 Elimination

April 21st, 2008 |

Author: Mythor

Tonight on The Biggest Loser is Elimination night.

Michelle and Kirsten have fallen below the Yellow Line, with Michelle losing a paltry 0.1kg in the last week, putting her position in the greatest jeopardy.
With two ex-Blues in Sam and Alison voting, Kirsten’s position in the House seems secure.

But will the Blue alliance finally crumble?

*shakes Magic 8 Ball*

“All signs point to NO.”

Thanks, Magic 8 Ball!

Kirsten says you could have cut the tension with a knife as they come out of the weigh in room. Her making the big accusation against Bryce has made things a bit rough.
“You’ve attacked my integrity as a person, my integrity in this game and that I am disgusted in. I thought I knew you better than that and I’d hoped you knew me better than that.” – Bryce

“I think it’s fair to say I’ll be voting for Kirsten.” – Bryce, who says he wouldn’t've been voting for Michelle regardless.

Michelle goes for a chat with Sam first, trying to get him on board to get rid of Kirsten.
In an aside Sam says that in the past, loyalty has been a big deal for him, but now he’s sitting second or maybe even first on the leaderboard and if there’s anyone who could stop him winning, it’s Kirsten.
Michelle says she’s no threat to win, where Kirsten is a huge threat to Sam. “And let’s face it, everybody wants to win.”
Except, it seems, Michelle. Won’t win with 0.1kg losses!

Michelle then goes for a chat with Garry as well. She thinks Garry is a bit of a sheep so she’s hoping to put some ideas in his head to get him to follow along.
She tells Garry that there’s 3 Blues, 1 Red and 2 Blacks, so she’s hoping they can come to some kind of agreement.
Offer him your booty, Michelle! Or a cupcake!

Kirsten has a chat to Sam next. Kirsten asks how he’s going and Sam says not the greatest, but probably she’s not doing so well either!
Kirsten figures Garry is definitely going to vote for her but she wants to make sure he’s not going to vote for her.
Sam is not being very reassuring, either! She says she got quite nervous when they spoke.
Sam says he’d hate to go home at the next elimination, thinking that this elimination bit him in the arse.
Kirsten tells him he’s got to do what is best for him.

And we’re already off to the elimination room. That seemed to be a lot quicker than past weeks. Bryce didn’t say boo to anyone! You’d think he’d've been off recruiting Garry at least and maybe having a quiet word in Sam’s ear.

Ajay’s in the elimination room, of course. Pretty silvery top under her black jacket this week. Spiffy!

Kirsten is talked at about how she had the chance to be the first Australian female Biggest Loser. Does she feel safe with her friends? With Cosi going for reasons of being the biggest threat it’s natural she’d be next.
She says she’s a little worried about Sam, because for him to get further and for him to get to the end, it’d be smart for him to get rid of her.

Michelle is asked if she tried to sway anyone’s vote and she says of course she did!
Don’t see Bryce objecting to that, do we? Nooo.

Voting order is Bryce, Alison, Sam and Garry.

Bryce says he’s said that loyalty has been a big thing to him. He suffered at the hands of loyalty a couple of weeks ago and walked out a happy man because of it. So he’s decided to try and save Michelle and vote out Kirsten. BIG SURPRISE.
Kirsten: 1

Alison says she’s voting for this person because they’ve fallen below the line with a teammate. She’s sure this person will be very successful once she gets home and she wishes her all the best. For Alison, there was no choice. So she’s voted for Michelle.
Kirsten: 1
Michelle: 1

If Michelle receives a vote from Sam or Garry, she will go home. Kirsten must receive votes from both Sam and Garry to go home.

It’s down to Sam at the moment. Vote for Michelle, she goes home. Vote for Kirsten and the responsibility shifts to Garry.

Sam says people have fallen to various kinds of elimination reasons. Personality? Can’t fault either of them and he’s close to both of them. Deserves it? One has had to keep fighting for their position in the game and the other has had to fight to even get into the game.
So it comes down to strategy. In the past he’s voted on colour lines and loyalty. But he’s facing two options. Can vote as a team member, which could come back and bite him on the arse. Or he could take out the biggest threat in the game while they’re vulnerable.
So he’s voted for… Ms Blurry White Glow!

Sigh.

After the ads…

He feels he had to go with his gut decision, “And it was saying to me… Stay true and stay Blue. Sorry, Mish.”

Woohoo! Blue for life! Heh.

Michelle will not be The Biggest Loser. We do not need to see Garry’s decision but it seems obvious he must have voted for Michelle as well, it’s just that that would not have been as dramatic as Sam’s vote.

Michelle is sad to be leaving, she’s changed her life and met some wonderful people. She’s looking forward to going home and putting everything into practice that she’s learnt. She’ll hold her head up high and be proud of what she achieved.
She says Sam might live to regret his decision. If he wanted to get in front, he should have gotten rid of Kirsten.

Ajay asks if Sam thinks he might have made a mistake today and Sam says yes and no. There was every reason to get rid of Kirsten, but he holds loyalty very close to his heart. He doesn’t know how he could have kept going in the game, knowing he’d gotten rid of Kirsten.
Good boy, Sam.
Ajay “sets the scene” for Sam, they’re at the finale and Kirsten just pips him at the post. Regret it then? Sam says it might be. He’ll go down nobly, though. He’ll tip his hat to her and congratulate her. Could he have done more, could he have worked harder? Not could he have gotten rid of someone who had the potential to beat him.

Kirsten says she can’t express how much she appreciates the loyalty Alison and Sam have shown her. She owes some people now and hopefully she can repay them.

Bryce is losing his best mate in the house, what will he miss most about her? He says he’s never met anyone as ballsy as her, she’s willing to stand on her own two feet and say what she really thinks.

Michelle doesn’t regret passing up the $50,000. Still. She says that money couldn’t buy the experience she had in there. She wasn’t happy with the person she was before she came in, she wouldn’t finish things she’d begun, but now she’s finished this. She’s a changed person!

Say your goodbyes and leave the competition for good. Again.

Hugs and kisses all round. Sam whispers something in her ear that is inaudible.

Five left!

In a few days time five contestants could become four as they’re about to face the ultimate surprise. You mean like another instant elimination? Yeah, it’s not so ultimate and surprising the second time round, dumbass.
Especially when you just tip your hand by saying five become four!

Just about everyone at Michelle’s welcome home party has Michelle shirts on. Creeeepy!

2 months on and she’s a little skinnier in the arms and face. Still very heavy around the torso and upper thighs.
She says she used to snack a lot, but now lunch consists of chicken or red meat with vegetables or salad. Huge change in her diet.

Michelle says it’s really embarassing watching her audition tape. She didn’t ever realise how big she was. She never wants to go back to that person.
She’s loving the person in the mirror now. She was in a size 22 before going on the show and is now a size 14.
She loves going shopping with her Mum now. Her Mum had stopped because Michelle used to get depressed by not being able to fit into anything.
She says she’ll be strutting her stuff at the finale!

Michelle has lost 30kg since appearing on the show.
And gained a boyfriend! Ooooh!

Tomorrow night… TRAIN THE TRAINERS DAY!
“ON YER GUTS!” – Sam

And they also get to hop into their “dream outfits” and someone is going to stun them!

Lots of hardcore training and the Temptation will have the biggest reward ever offered. And someone’s journey will be over!
Oooh. Wait, didn’t we find all that out last night?

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Posted in Recap, The Biggest Loser |

Tags: elimination, michelle, Recap, season 3, The Biggest Loser

Me

Yay! She was like a turd that wouldn’t flush, but she’s finally gone now :D I’m hoping Kirtsten wins the competition, she certainly deserves to.

Thanks again for the recap.
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

I’m still holding out hope for Sam!
But yes, no tears for Michelle being punted again. Good stuff!

You’re welcome!
karngga

To get to what would be considered as a good average weight to height ratio for each of them:

Garry needs to lose 36.4kgs and will have a % loss of 49.08%
Alison needs to lose 19.9kgs and will have a % loss of 50.70%
Sam needs to lose 10kgs and will have a % loss of 41.79%
Kirsten needs to lose 12.2kg and will have a % loss of 44.79%
Bryce needs to lose 8.7kg and will have a % loss of 38.94%

Given that they have one more weighin to go and then a minimum of 6 weeks at home, its probable that Sam, Kirsten and Bryce will reach these goal weights, if not exceed them. Sam could easily drop a further 5kgs and be on the same goal weight as Bryce (Sam is only a couple of centimetres taller) which would bring him to 45.02%. Garry will struggle to drop 36kgs in 7-8 weeks, thats 5kgs a week. Alison needs to drop 20kgs or around 2.5-3.0kgs / week and it will be tough for her but I think she can do it. Kirsten could also drop a further 5kgs and that would bring her to 48.74% and around 2kgs a week.

What it amounts to though is if the three Blues get through as has been heavily rumoured, the Finale is going to be extremely interesting and I think it will come down to who goes under their goal weights by the most. It could really end up being a battle between Kirsten and Alison.
Nat

Great work, Karngga.
I too was doing the sums last week about each contestant’s potential loss if they reach their goal weight.

I think Allison and Garry are too far away from their goal weights to really be a look in. Looking at Garry’s up and down performance and the fact he will have to do it on the ouside without 24/7 supervision, just isn’t going to be possible. As for Allison, well, I worry that when she gets home to the husband, kids and stess of her normal daily life that it might be hard to sustain the same intensity that she has going in the white house.

Kirsten is very tall. I think getting under her goal weight of 70kg will require a huge amount of work even as little as 5kgs under.

I don’t think Bryce started heavy enough to be a real contender. But I agree Sam probably could drop his goal weight down to Bryce’s target.

I think it will be a tight battle between Kirsten and Sam in the final!

But totally agree with you. It will come down to who can go under their goal weight. It will be a very intersting final! Have they set the date for the final yet?
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

Yes, I doubt Alison will end up being a contender because she’ll have too many distractions/responsibilities at home. If her husband and Mum can continue to shoulder the majority of the burdens though, she might manage it.

Bryce didn’t start heavy enough to be a serious contender but he also hasn’t lost weight consistently enough to do it, either. His good weeks have been pretty good but then he’s had bad weeks right after. He’d have to kick that habit to be a threat at all.

Kirsten’s main advantage is that she’s already in the lead. If she can keep pushing hard from now (TV time) to the finale then if any of the others slack off even slightly, she could very possibly just hold the lead until finale.

Finale will be Thursday, 1st of May. Last episode to air will be on Sunday, which will be a weigh in and elimination night.
Anon

Most predictable elimination EVER!

PS – Y’know, when Bryce was upset about Cosi talking to Michelle pre-elimination, I think he was peeved because Cosi wasn’t even up for elimination. I think he was also peeved about Cosi being shitty that Bryce and Michelle didn’t smile and do a happy dance and bow at Cosi’s weight loss figure for that week.

I don’t think anyone would begrudge the people who are up for elimination for pleading their case with others.

But I can tell you’re a Bryce hater, (he doesn’t move me one way or the other), so I don’t know if you’ll see it this way!
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

Not so much a hater, just fair and balanced. Like Fox! ;)

You could be right that Cosi was talking on behalf of someone but that’s still not unprecedented and the reality is, people are always trying to sway others during pre-elimination stuff. Bryce getting shirty with Cosi over it was silly.
It’s just one example though.

Only one more week, either way!
Cara

I have only just started watching the Biggest loser this season, so I am not entirely sure how the winner is decided. I thought it was just the contestant who lost the biggest percentage, so what does their goal weight have to do with it?

Also, I didn’t realise the final weigh in is held a few weeks after they go home. That should be interesting! Has there been any big changes or shocks in terms of weight loss progress once people have gone home?

And thanks for the recaps!!
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

The winner is decided solely on who loses the greatest percentage of their body weight, correct.
The reason the goal weights are mentioned sometimes is because it’s an indication of what their weight “should” be… in theory. I’ve never paid much attention to the goal weights, personally, as I don’t think they’re at all useful for working out who’ll win. Some contestants set themselves absurdly optimistic goals, some set very pessmistic ones.
It’s not an overly useful way to judge whether they will be successful, in my opinion.

The Finale will be filmed at least 6 weeks after they leave the House, possibly more like 8 weeks, it’s not entirely certain.
But yes, with an extra 6 or more weeks for people to lose weight in, the differences at the finale can be quite stunning. And some will undoubtedly be quite disappointing, too. It’s always interesting, though!

You’re welcome. :-)
Anon

Haha, fair and balanced isn’t exactly something I would call your recaps, but that’s why I heart them! Entertaining!
Jeff

It would be great if a woman could win this year. Obviously this is their best chance to do it so far. But there’s one problem with it: if a woman does win, as in the American Biggest Loser, then people will say, “Obviously this competition is totally fair and balanced.” But it isn’t. And as usual, I will back up my position with logic and leave personal preferences out of it.

I crunched the data from the American Biggest Loser, since there have been five full seasons of data already. (The Aussie version has only two completed seasons). Here’s what I found:

Number of men who’ve lost over 50% of their bodyweight: 4
Number of women who have done the same: 0

Number of men who’ve lost 45-49% of their bodyweight: 7
Number of women who’ve done the same: 3

Number of men who’ve lost 40-44% of their bodyweight: 8
Number of women who’ve done the same: 9

Total average bodyweight loss percentage for men: 37.2%
Total average bodyweight loss percentage for women: 31.7%

I think I’m detecting a trend here. A girl did win the American BL this year, with an outstanding 47.9% bodyweight loss. However, she was lucky that there were no men who could hit 50% this year. Last season, 3 men lost a higher bodyweight % than Ali (the winner) did this year. Neil last year lost 211 freaking pounds (95.7kg) or 50.1% of his bodyweight, and he didn’t win the $250k grand prize OR the $100k eliminated contestants’ prize.

Here’s how to fix this. I know this is totally logical and leaves contestant preferences and likes and dislikes out of the equation. So it’ll probably get shouted down, as most good, logical ideas do. But here’s how I’d balance the competition. It’s kind of like handicapping bowling scores. I would take the expected weight-loss ratios of the men vs. women (37.2% and 31.7%) and divide them. This would give me a multiplier which I could apply to adjust the female weight loss percentages. And of course I would update this multiplier with each new season of data, as any good statistician would. 37.2/31.7 = 1.17. Every female weight loss, every week, would be multiplied by this factor.

I have succeeded in making the weight loss side of the competition fair. You’re welcome. I’m not going to get into the men vs. women challenge side of the affair because it’s too subjective. But obviously women are at a disadvantage at the challenges, and so are more likely to incur weight penalties, etc.
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

No, handicapping is a bad idea because you can’t just multiply every woman’s results by the same amount to even things out. Younger women will do better than older women, and younger men will do better than older men, too. So you’d end up with a whole mess of handicapping all over the place and things would get really ugly.

A woman doesn’t even have to win for the declarations to start about it being fair though. Bryce said it last night in regards to Alison winning the title of Biggest Loser. In one week.
Was completely ridiculous. Takes more than outperforming the boys for one week to win it and Bryce ought to know that.
Jeff

I see what you’re saying. I know my solution isn’t perfect, but it’s better than the current situation. I don’t really buy the younger vs. older people advantage thing, though. Our Season 3 BL, Erik, was 36. The Season 4 BL, Bill, was 41(!). And this year’s biggest loser was 32. It could be that the younger people have more ability to lose weight (I could accept that) but that the older people are more driven. Who knows. As for Alison, you’re right, you can’t give her props for just one big week.

She seems like the type of person who has a lot of friends at home, though. Let’s hope they rally behind her at home, lighten her workload and let her work out, and give her the best chance of winning. She’s still a bit of a fatty: I’d say she’s actually tiny under all that. Bryce is too large and muscular to lose much more weight (he looks very studly, though). Kirsten has the same problem: look at the size of her shoulders and arms. She can’t lose much more unless she does a Chris and starves herself. Garry is actually not very muscular, in my estimation. It would be interesting if he could drop down to 110kg or so at the finale, but is he driven enough? Obviously Sam’s got a good chance. I actually would be pleased to see any of the remaining contestants win, as the few I didn’t like are already gone.

You’ve probably figured out that I tend to like the underdogs. I identify with them and pull for people who are persecuted. So even though I like Bryce, I think he’s the only one left who has no chance of winning.
http://www.mythor.net/thebiggestloser Mythor

No, it’s really not better than the current situation. Your solution would be confusing to the viewers at home and virtually impossible to balance fairly. As you said, you’d have to keep adjusting the handicapping formula in an effort to maintain the fairness, but you would be constantly behind the curve because you couldn’t base the handicapping on the results of the current season, only historical data collected from previous contestants that may or may not be a fair representation of the current crop.
At some point you’d end up with a female Biggest Loser, no doubt at all. But with the handicapping in place, it may be by a completely ridiculous margin and yet the “real” result could show that a man really won it.

Not much of a victory!